First pensions, and now bankruptcy tsunami

July 12, 2012

By Steven Greenhut

First Vallejo, then Stockton, then Mammoth Lakes and now San Bernardino. As Orange County Supervisor John Moorlach told Bloomberg News, the bankruptcy dominoes are starting to fall. One California city after another — following a decade-long spree of ramping up public-employee pay and pension benefits, as well as redevelopment debt — are becoming insolvent.

Not that the state’s legislators have anything constructive to offer. California’s Democratic leaders are not only unwilling to rein in the costs of benefits for their patrons, the public-sector unions, but they have been erecting roadblocks to those localities that want to fix the problem on their own. Yet all the political blockades in the world cannot fix the basic problem of insolvency.

Stockton negotiated the new process created by a state law requiring a 60-day period of negotiations before filing for Chapter 9 bankruptcy. That period is over and the city – a hard-pressed port on the edge of the California Delta – has become the largest city in the country to pursue municipal bankruptcy. The cause was a pension system eating up 30 percent of the budget, an absurdly generous retiree medical program that provided lifetime benefits after working for the city for a short period, and excess bond debt for pension obligations and redevelopment projects.

Soon after, Mammoth Lakes decided to pursue bankruptcy. That city’s problem came after it lost a judgment in a development case. Although not tied to public-employee compensation, the situation was caused by city officials who prefer to play developer than tend to the nuts-and-bolts of city government – a long-term problem in that eastern Sierra vacation town. In 1996, Mammoth Lakes lost a court case after it declared its downtown area blighted because of excess urbanization, in a ruling the judge said exemplified the misuse of redevelopment power.

The latest city to declare bankruptcy is San Bernardino, which has declared an emergency situation that will allow it to evade the negotiation period mandated by state law. The city simply doesn’t have the cash to keep operating. As Bloomberg reported, “San Bernardino and its agencies have more than $220 million of debt, including $48.6 million of taxable pension-obligation bonds, according to financial statements.” Pension-obligation bonds are used by cities to pay ongoing pension expenses, yet San Bernardino’s problems show that a city cannot borrow its way out of debt.

Other big cities, including Los Angeles, are talking more openly about the bankruptcy option. Not long ago critics who mentioned the B-word were considered Chicken Littles.

The latest talking point is that these cities couldn’t control what happened to them – that they were victims of the foreclosure crisis that rocked the inland areas where housing construction boomed during the housing bubble.

Foreclosures

The Riverside Press-Enterprise reported: “The city of San Bernardino’s financial woes are a directly correlation to a torrent of foreclosures in the Inland area of Southern California, the national foreclosure tracking firm RealtyTrac said Thursday. ‘Property taxes plunged in San Bernardino because of an avalanche of foreclosure activity during the recent housing bust,’ said RealtyTrac vice president Daren Blomquist.”

There’s no doubt San Bernardino and Stockton — Ground Zero for the housing crisis — suffered from the problem described above. But what did those cities do with the rapid increase in property tax revenues during the price run-up? We know – they squandered it on increased compensation for government employees, on redevelopment projects and other questionable spending deals. They squandered the money when it came flowing in, now depict themselves as victims of circumstance when the funds dried up.

The real culprit, as I argue here in City Journal, is foolish decision making. Stockton, for instance, refused to take advantage of an exemption in prevailing wage laws – something that could have saved it money but would have angered the powerful unions.

The housing bubble hit the hardest in cities inland from the growth-controlled major metropolitan areas. When the prices went up in Los Angeles and San Francisco, developers moved inland, where it was easier to get the permits necessary to respond to the demands of the marketplace.

Coastal cities

But even coastal cities are struggling. Los Angeles is not a victim of the foreclosure crisis. Pension costs in San Jose — where the housing market has rebounded thanks to a healthy tech-based economy — rose 350 percent in 10 years and now consume 20 percent of the general-fund budget. That city passed pension reform on the November ballot to stop the fiscal bleeding.

Here Joe Mathews debunks San Bernardino’s allegations that the state is to blame for its fiscal problems: “Local elected officials who complain about a lack of state money have things backwards. The state of California is relatively spare in its spending, compared to national averages. California’s local officials are, by contrast, big spenders, at or near the national lead in compensation for local workers, especially law enforcement.”

There’s no doubt the problem is fiscally profligate local governments, who busted the bank on public-safety pay and benefit packages and now are looking to cast blame anywhere they can.

Bankruptcy is not a great option but at least it gives cities a chance to get their house in order and start fresh. Unfortunately, Vallejo and Stockton refused to tackled existing pension debt in their bankruptcy plans. Orange County emerged from bankruptcy in the 1990s in better shape than ever, but as Chris Reed explained for CalWatchdog, subsequent boards of supervisors then began spending like crazy on public-sector compensation.

Bankruptcy cannot stop future officials from wasting the taxpayer dollar. But when there’s no money, there’s nothing left to do. In Scranton, Pa., a judge issued an injunction to stop the mayor’s plan to begin paying all city employees minimum wage. But there’s no money left to pay any more than that, he said. The city will gladly pay more as soon as it has the cash to pay it.

Only when the money runs out will cities find the necessary solutions. That’s perhaps the saddest commentary on the situation in California cities these days.

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Comments(69)
  1. Ted Steele, The Decider says:

    BobA.–

    This is your premise- I will quote you–

    “Your “view” is based on the false premise that if you own a business and you in it to make a profit then you must be a republican.”

    Your premise fails–I do not think that.

  2. Ted Steele, The Decider says:

    Mr U Haul—I don’t fear our future– sure we have hard times now and more to come. ANYone can see that. I think though that in time we will–

    1. Balance or budget

    2. Fix immigration and welfare

    3. Jobs will return—

    We are 5 years away.

    I am an positive thinker.

  3. Ulysses Uhaul says:

    Teddy. No criticism here. As you read from the morbid kooks on this site polarization over “The Pie” is getting worse.

    I beg to disagree born and educated in machine politics Penna.

    It doesn’t get better. In fact, back there you best shut your mouth or your job, health/welfare are possibly at risk!

  4. BobA in San Diego says:

    Ted Steele:

    That’s good to hear. That gives me some confidence that you’re an objective thinker.

    As to you comments to Mr. U Haul: while I applaud your optimism as a positive thinker, realistically speaking, the chances of the things you mentioned happening are highly unlikely to happen anytime soon or into the foreseeable future.
    There is no political will to balance the budget, fix immigration or fix welfare. It’s just not in the interests of politicians to do those things because those things are hard and takes courage.

    The breed of politicians we have today don’t do hard or the courage thing. If they did we wouldn’t be facing the problems we’re facing today.

  5. Ted Steele, The Decider says:

    Once again I agree with you BobA. Immigration and welfare reform are THE biggest cost and probably take the most amount of courage and co op to fix….we are indeed a ways off— That’s why I think in 5 years amounts…..given where our state budget and services are going, maybe with 5 years of pain we will find the required will. Sadly, that’s more the triumph of hope over experience though.

    Ted

    Slave Master to the Trolls

  6. Ted Steele, The Decider says:

    Mr Pack n Ship— you are as always—correct.

  7. BobA in San Diego says:

    Ted:

    We’ve been subjected to pain for years now and have become numb to it. It’s going take more than that before we see a serious change. What’s called for now is a year or two of excruciating and agonizing pain. The kind that makes you beg for death to end the suffering. We’re not there yet.

    When California declares bankruptcy, unemployment goes upwards of 20%; crime goes through the roof; large employers and all those that can have fled the state; we will be there.

  8. Ulysses Uhaul says:

    The Doomsday will not come except for the educated middle class….college and specialized tech and trades.

    Wage compression, becoming obsolete, globalism nuances, IT productivity, taxes and regulations, age discrimination……will stunt the upward mobility to middle class….or staying as such!

    Read the history of command economies….there are elites and serfs….few in middle class.

    The cycle of economic pain will take a long long time…the historical misery….huge! Your future should is your responsibility, for politicans will sell you out to personally survive….cause it’s only fair!

  9. Ted Steele, The Decider says:

    “cause it’s only fair” !!!

    Mr. Pack and Ship —I woke up laughing on that one!

    BobA. I hope you’re not too disappointed when all of your doom does not come to pass. You need to get out of the bunker into the sunshine a bit more. “beg for death and end suffering”? Oh my.

    Please tell me when that is going to start. Maybe you can make a famous prediction out here like the Poodle does? Ya know, the Poodle is 0 for 9 in his predictions. Well, like his master Glen Beck.

    A date please?

    Ted, Mentor to the paranoid.

  10. Ulysses Uhaul says:

    Poodle in the bunker!

    Agree this site’s posting population is dancing on the graves of civil servants….and children and the poor!

    They are always in the gloom of the future…gargoyles man….gargoyles!

  11. Donkey says:

    In five years the entire RAGWUS will have devoured what is left of the private sector if extreme measures are not taken to reduce the costs of the individual RAGWUS feeders pay, benefits, perks, and pensions. :)

  12. Ulysses Uhaul says:

    Part time legislature. Strict term limits. Privatize prisons, infrastructure development and maintenance, DMV. School vouchers.

    Cut nonprofit government grants to the bone!

  13. Donkey says:

    Cut the pay, perks, pensions, and benefits to all RAGWUS feeders. Reduce the power of the police state, cut the power of the PIC and follow the Bill of Rights of the U.S. Constitution. :)

  14. Ulysses Uhaul says:

    Donkey who will do these things? Who?

    Your rants are moon barking!!!

  15. Ted Steele, The Decider says:

    zzzzzzzzzz Duncey and the Poodle are a waste of space…..

  16. Ulysses Uhaul says:

    Got Bunker Fever!!!!

  17. Donkey says:

    UH, the courts will make the cuts when the math comes due, which is rolling ever faster. :)

  18. public servant says:

    I am an educator. I put myself through school, worked for nearly twenty years as a teacher, and now work as an administrator. I am watching and participating with great interest in the debate over my future and the future of our state. When pension reform hits, as it inevitably should, I hope the acrimonious attitudes of many of those who have already posted are ignored . What we need is real reform that doesn’t rely on hateful caricatures and conspiracy-mongers but takes into account the very-real commitments that have been made along the way, while addressing the problems that pensions contribute to the state fiscal crisis. The suggestion that there is an overt- or covert – plan to rape the system is not only irrational, but it is an insult to the many who provide the services that are routinely taken for granted.

  19. Tax Target says:

    Public Servant – the acrimony you hear is largely a result of the government, i.e., state, regional and local, taking advantage of those who put money into the coffers as if there is an inexhaustible supply of it. It is tragic that individual public servants will suffer in this process – I get it. However, if things don’t change and soon the only people left to tax will be the government workers….